Doug from time to time drops these wonderful essays in comments here and there. Watts read and elevated.
Brevity is the tricky one.
And another thing… wherein is turn off.
Elevated from a comment by Doug Proctor November 14, 2013 at 10:00 am
I’ve been thinking about what makes the warmist-skeptic fight go on and on. What I have noted is the constant difference in how each side places its emphasis, and that this shows up in its speech. Specifically, the skeptics use declarative, as in “this will”, “this shall” or “this does”, and, of course, its negative equals. The warmists use conditionals, i.e. words like “could” or “should” or “may” or “might” that indicate undefined probabilities and, in truth, possibilities, things that are determinable only after the fact.
The use of conditionals after 25 years is remarkable (here I make a declarative statement). Despite all the models and claims of correlation/matching of observation, we still have no “does”, “shall” or “will” in the IPCC or other CAGW programme. The dangers and fears are in the distant future, discussed only…
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The meteorological station at Armagh Observatory, Northern Ireland closed in 2000. A lot of the data has been made online access via scanned logbooks and some digitised data, paid for primarily by lottery funds.
An unpublished version of the data is used as part of a fractional delay demonstration.
Earlier article providing a template and instructions is
Working code is provided for copying and use, no macros.
Fractional delay means one timeseries can be delayed or advanced in time relative to another by any amount including any fraction of one sample time. This is achieved by a short digital filter (5 taps) which is “designed” by the spreadsheet to user demand.
A demonstration of usage on real data is the next DaedalEarth article. Link to demonstration.
Steve McIntyre + Josh = 0
Brilliant precusors and post.
Now notice WUWT are reporting CFC Ozone hole causes warming and cooling, two different studies two years apart.
Mann rose to prominence by supposedly being able to detect “faint” signals using “advanced” statistical methods. Lewandowsky has taken this to a new level: using lew-statistics, lew-scientists can deduce properties of population with no members. Josh summarizes the zen of lew-statistics as follows:
Combining (or merging or whatever you call it) two or more PDF files into a single output PDF is very easy to do without needing to pay for anything provided you can do simple typing.
This contradicts various web advice sites, how-to and so on where surprise surprise the solution is buy this or that.
Unix users, BSD, Linux, OSX probably won’t need telling but the following with slight changes works there too.
I often use Method 2 but for this is horses for courses, why we have a brain.
I’ve written this without assuming the reader is much of an expert, might be talking down.